Prepper Risk Assessment

Welcome to our practical risk analysis. Below we explore many of the threats that could affect you and your family. We do this by conducting an in-depth risk assessment for everyone here in the US. We use facts, scientific studies, and data to:

• Identify Threats
• Calculate Risk
• Rank and Sort Risk Events
• Suggest Prevention and Mitigation Tactics for Events

You’ll find the relative risk levels below, so you can figure out whether you should plan for floods, hurricanes, and other national disasters or EMPs, conventional attacks, and nuclear accidents first.

The Threat List is a massive tool that will help you prioritize your prepping resources- whether it’s your time or money. This page is over 20,000 words long and may take a while to go through. Due to its size, use the table of contents below to jump to and return to sections. Be sure to bookmark this page to return to later, as we do update sections based on current events and the ever-changing threat levels of our modern-day world.

TruePrepper has gathered data and completed a risk analysis for each threat listed. A typical risk assessment accounts for only probability and severity. With just two components, this limits the scope and accuracy of the risk assessment. At TruePrepper we assigned the threats a threat index level using a mathematical algorithm that uses over eight components:

• Forecasted Probability
• Historical Frequency
• Mitigation Potential
  • Resources
  • Prediction
  • Awareness
• Historical Loss of Life
• Historical Damage
• Forecasted Impact
• Range of Impact
• Combination Potential

The algorithm forecasts recognized trends instead of using blanket average data that may unintentionally smooth and affect traditional risk analysis accuracy. It uses exponential regression, so the risk index range between 9 and 8 is larger than the same range between 2 and 1.

The Threat Level is meant to help you identify which threats to prepare for first. Level 9 threat should be a high-priority threat that you should prepare for immediately if you have not already. A level 1 threat is a lower-priority threat and should be prepared for after you have reviewed and evaluated threats with higher threat levels. The levels are suggestions as some threats are circumstantial, geography-based, or avoidable. 

Some threats do not apply to certain individuals based on many factors. Some threats we are not able to predict, but if you are prepared for enough other threats and hone survival skills, you may be resourceful and ready for them when they occur.

Although it was not part of the risk analysis, personal health is an important foundation for prepping. Without your health, preparing to survive during natural disasters, accidents, and attacks is much more difficult.